Somewhat robust wholesale indicators signal upward potential for 3Q GDP in U.S.
Inventories at the wholesale level rose 0.5% during September (4.5% y/y) following a 0.3% August increase. The rise was paced by a 1.3% jump (8.4% y/y) in furniture and a 0.5% rise (12.8% y/y) in automotive inventories.
Nondurable goods inventories increased 1.9% (7.5% y/y). The gain reflected a 2.3% rise (14.4% y/y) in apparel but petroleum inventories eased 0.6% (-18.2% y/y).
Sales in the wholesale sector improved 0.5% (-3.6% y/y) after two months of decline. Motor vehicle sales jumped 2.3% (5.9% y/y) though furniture purchases were off 2.7% (+4.6% y/y). Machinery equipment sales improved 0.2% (-3.6% y/y).
Nondurable goods sales increased 0.3% (-6.1% y/y) as apparel sales gained 1.9% (6.3% y/y).
The inventory to sales ratio held steady at 1.31.
Wholesale Sector - NAICS Classification (%) | Sep | Aug | Jul | Y/Y | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Inventories | 0.5 | 0.3 | -0.3 | 4.5 | 6.7 | 4.1 | 6.6 |
Sales | 0.5 | -0.9 | -0.3 | -3.6 | 4.3 | 3.0 | 6.2 |
I/S Ratio | 1.31 | 1.31 | 1.30 | 1.20 (Sep. '14) | 1.20 | 1.18 | 1.16 |

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