Friday, November 27, 2015

U.S. October Personal Income and Spending suggest Solid Real-term Indicators

Although these were lower than market expectations, these real-term indicators suggest solid growth persists...!

Odd one is that personal savings rate improved to 5.6% from 5.3%, revised from 4.8%. The rate was the highest since fiscal cliff of 2013...as income improved, but spending was slow. However, ahead of Thanksgiving holiday people should have been motivated to save money temporarily. We have seen same movement in previous years. On the other hand, people may prepare post-FED's fund rate hike. If these two factors were significant, higher saving rate would be unwound soon...!



Personal Income & Outlays (%)OctSepAugY/Y201420132012
Personal Income0.40.20.44.64.41.15.0
  Wages & Salaries0.60.00.44.95.12.74.5
Disposable Personal Income0.40.20.44.14.2-0.15.1
Personal Consumption Expenditures0.10.10.32.94.23.13.4
Personal Saving Rate5.65.35.24.5
(Oct. '14)
4.84.87.6
PCE Chain Price Index0.1-0.1-0.00.21.41.41.9
  Less Food & Energy0.00.20.11.31.51.51.9
Real Disposable Income0.40.30.43.92.7-1.43.1
Real Personal Consumption Expenditures0.10.10.32.72.71.71.5

No comments:

Post a Comment