Wednesday, November 25, 2015

Revision of U.S. 3Q GDP from 1.5% to 2.1% as effect of inventories declines

Even though DB research argues growth rate in 4Q would be less than 2% especially with worries about increased inventories and declined consumption, investment in both of corporate sector and housing market seems very solid suggesting ongoing improvement of U.S. economy.

Chained 2009 $ (%, AR)Q3'15 (Second Estimate)Q3'15 (Advance Estimate)Q2'15Q1'15Q3 Y/Y201420132012
Gross Domestic Product2.11.53.90.62.22.41.52.2
  Inventory Effect-0.6-1.40.00.90.10.00.10.1
Final Sales2.73.03.9-0.22.12.41.42.1
  Foreign Trade Effect-0.2-0.00.2-1.9-0.7-0.10.20.2
Domestic Final Sales2.92.93.71.72.82.81.21.9
Demand Components
Personal Consumption Expenditures3.03.23.61.73.22.71.71.5
Business Fixed Investment2.42.14.11.62.26.23.09.0
Residential Investment7.36.19.410.18.21.89.513.5
Government Spending1.71.72.6-0.10.7-0.6-2.9-1.9
Chain-Type Price Index
GDP     1.31.22.10.10.91.61.61.8
Personal Consumption Expenditures1.31.22.2-1.90.31.41.41.8
 Less Food/Energy1.31.31.91.01.31.51.51.9

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