Tuesday, November 10, 2015

U.S. Consumer Credit Surged as both revolving and non-revolving indicators soared

Somewhat solid growth of revolving credit signals reflatonary pressure on U.S. economy.

Consumer credit outstanding surged $28.9 billion during September following an unrevised $16.0 billion August rise. It was the largest increase rate, yoy 7.1% in postwar history. Expectations were for a $17.2 billion gain.

Separately, robust credit was led by non-revolving increased about 22 billion dollar from previous month while revolving credit grew 6.7 billion. Non-revolving is almost consist of auto-loan and borrowing of longer-period maturity. This is likely in line with spurred car sales recently.

On the other hand, revolving credit such as private credit card usage increased with pace of 4.7% from a year earlier and it's faster than previous years. Albeit this growth rate is lower than non-revolving, higher itself could signal reflation scenario in U.S. economy.

Consumer Credit Outstanding (M/M Chg, SA)SepAugJulY/Y201420132012
Total$28.9 bil.$16.0 bil.$19.5 bil.7.1%7.0%6.0%6.1%
   Revolving6.74.04.24.73.71.40.6
   Nonrevolving22.212.015.38.08.37.98.5



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